Infectious Disease Pandemic Planning and Response: Incorporating Decision Analysis

Jan 15, 2020 | Kim Rodgers

PLOS Medicine recently published an open-access article on incorporating decision analysis into infectious disease planning and response. Below is the introduction to the article, which can be viewed in full here.

Planning is critical to mitigating the sudden and potentially catastrophic impact of an infectious disease pandemic on society, but it is far from straightforward [1]. During a pandemic, decisions will be made under rapidly changing, uncertain conditions, with limited (if any) prior experience.

The 1918 H1N1 pandemic was estimated to have caused the death of tens of millions of people worldwide. It is encouraging that antivirals and vaccines available to us today would help to reduce the impact of a similar pandemic event, yet with cities and countries increasingly connected by air travel, we will likely be faced with a pathogen capable of spreading rapidly across the globe. The 2009 pandemic H1N1 (A(H1N1)pdm09), a virus estimated to be less transmissible than the 1918 strain [2], spread to 74 countries within just 4 months [3].

Mathematical and statistical models are important tools for pandemic planning and response. Although it is unlikely that we will ever be able to predict precisely where or when the next pandemic will occur [4], once an outbreak of pandemic potential has been identified, models have enormous potential to improve the effectiveness of our response. They can be used to synthesize the available data to provide enhanced situational awareness, to predict the future course of the pandemic and likely associated social and economic costs, and to plan mitigation strategies [5, 6].

Read the full article to learn more.


637020799465370000

About Kim Rodgers

Pronouns: She/Her

Kim Rodgers is the Communications Manager at NACCHO.

More posts by Kim Rodgers

Related Posts

2000px US CDC logo
  • COVID-19
  • Tools & Resources
  • Contact Tracing

New Recommendations for Prioritizing Case Investigations...

CDC released new recommendations prioritizing case investigations and contact...

Nov 23, 2020 | Beth Hess

New Recommendations for Prioritizing Case Investigations...

Webinar
  • COVID-19
  • Webinar

Webinar: Keeping People Safe in Congregate Living...

Join NACCHO and the Bay Area Regional Health Inequities Initiative (BARHII) on...

Nov 20, 2020 | Beth Hess

Webinar: Keeping People Safe in Congregate Living...

November Feature Web
  • COVID-19
  • Immunization
  • Medical Reserve Corps

Preparing for Mass Vaccination Whatever the Weather

While the timing of COVID-19 vaccine availability is still unknown, Medical...

Nov 19, 2020 | Beth Hess

Preparing for Mass Vaccination Whatever the Weather

Workforce RFA extended Deadline Web
  • COVID-19
  • Funding Opportunity
  • Opportunity
  • Rural Health

Funding Opportunity: Building Workforce Capacity of...

Application deadline December 7, 2020.

Nov 19, 2020 | Beth Hess

Funding Opportunity: Building Workforce Capacity of...

Low or no cost testing clinic Landscape
  • COVID-19
  • Tools & Resources

COVID-19 Testing Communications Toolkit

A new COVID-19 Testing Communications Toolkit is now available for anyone...

Nov 19, 2020 | Beth Hess

COVID-19 Testing Communications Toolkit

Webinar
  • Webinar
  • Emergency Response

Webinar: Introducing CRC SimPLER: A Simulation Program...

NACCHO, in collaboration with the CDC, is pleased to invite local health...

Nov 17, 2020 | Beth Hess

Webinar: Introducing CRC SimPLER: A Simulation Program...

Covid
  • COVID-19
  • Webinar
  • Immunization

Webinar Recording: Vaccine Administration Planning:...

The recording and resources from NACCHO’s Vaccine Administration Planning:...

Nov 16, 2020 | Beth Hess

Webinar Recording: Vaccine Administration Planning:...

  • COVID-19
  • Webinar

Webinar Recording: Public Health Official Safety -...

The webinar recording and slides are now available for NACCHO’s webinar “Public...

Nov 12, 2020 | Beth Hess

Webinar Recording: Public Health Official Safety -...

Answer The Call
  • COVID-19
  • Tools & Resources
  • Contact Tracing

CDC Releases Contact Tracing Video: “Answer the Call”

CDC has released a new video title “Answer the Call” describing the contact...

Nov 12, 2020 | Beth Hess

CDC Releases Contact Tracing Video: “Answer the Call”

Back to Top